Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new ...

We are chilly this morning again with temperatures in the 30s and 40s under mostly clear skies. Clouds will gradually ...

That's lower than the statistical bias of the polls in 2016 and 2020, which underestimated Trump by 3.2 and 4.1 points, respectively. But it's higher than the bias in the 2000, 2004, 2008 and 2012 ...

Betting odds proved to be a much better prognosticator than polls in forecasting Donald Trump’s landslide victory over Vice President Kamala Harris in the presidential election. Several prominent ...

With the 2024 presidential election results now out, many forecasters have been proved wrong. But which were right?

ABC News projects that Rep. Bryan Steil will win reelection in Wisconsin's 1st District. Our forecast rated this seat "Likely ...

"A close race in the polls does not necessarily mean the outcome will be close," pollsters FiveThirtyEight wrote on their website.

His model was predicting a different outcome than The New York Times’ model, which was heavily leaning in favor of a Donald ...

It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. Joe Biden triumphed in 2020 with 306 votes by winning ...