Donald Trump Suffers Major Blow in Top Election Forecast
The former president fell below a 40 percent chance of winning the election in the latest update to FiveThirtyEight's forecast model.
More polls show Harris leading Trump, but Nate Silver sees popular, electoral vote split
Many polls show Vice President Kamala Harris holds a small lead nationally over former President Trump less than 50 days out from election day.
Nate Silver’s Latest Forecast Has Trump Winning Every Single Swing State in Electoral College Blowout
Silver predicted an Electoral College landslide for Trump after his model’s latest forecast showed the Republican is now favored to win 63.8 percent vote share.
Election Forecast Model Has Kamala Harris Winning Every Swing State
Forecast previously showed that former President Donald Trump would win in Georgia, Arizona and North Carolina.
Who will win the election in Arizona? Here's where Trump, Harris stand in latest polls
Who will win the presidential election in Arizona? Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are in a close race for the White House in Arizona, polls show.
Donald Trump, Kamala Harris virtually tied in new Pennsylvania poll
During Tuesday’s presidential debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, a pattern emerged in which the vice president sometimes stretched the truth and sought to reframe he
Kamala Harris vs Donald Trump: Latest presidential race poll widens the gap
In the latest poll conducted by Outward Intelligence, Vice President Kamala Harris holds a 6.6-point lead over former President Donald Trump in the 2024 U.S. presidential race. The survey, released today,
Kamala Harris' lead over Donald Trump hits 11 points in NH poll
Vice President Kamala Harris now leads former President Donald Trump by double-digits in New Hampshire, according to UNH poll.
Kamala Harris Leads Trump in Key Battleground Polls
In a recent turn of events in the presidential race, former President Donald Trump faced criticism at a Long Island rally for his sharp remarks on immigration, promising to remove undocumented immigrants if reelected.
Kamala Harris suffers a new blow ahead of presidential election
Kamala Harris has suffered a new blow to her election campaign after one of America's most powerful unions ruled out endorsing a presidential candidate for the first time in 30 years.
Polls show Harris gaining after the presidential debate
Presidential debates are one of those things. Last week's debate between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President ...
Newsweek27d
Top Election Forecast Model Relaunched Three Weeks Later Than Scheduled
Top polling aggregator FiveThirtyEight has rereleased its election forecast model for 2024 on Friday, giving Vice President Kamala Harris a 58 percent chance of victory in November ...
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Why 538's forecast hasn't moved much post-debate
they're about 25 percent bigger than those in some of the other election forecast models out there. One reason they are so large is that 538's model more closely follows trends in the reliability ...
Customize our 2024 presidential election forecast
"what-if" interactive lets you pick the winner of each state and see how it would shift the range of outcomes in our 2024 presidential election forecast.
projects.fivethirtyeight2mon
Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?
The 538 crew discusses how the issue of reproductive rights played a bigger role in the Harris-Trump debate compared to the previous debate with Trump and Biden. ABC News politics reporter Brittany ...
The Economist1d
Pennsylvania, the crucial battleground in America’s election
The Economist’s forecast model suggests that the state—with its 19 electoral-college votes, the most of any swing state—is ...
Politico16d
Don’t Trust the Election Forecasts
Even as Joe Biden’s presidential candidacy teetered and polls showed him clearly losing to Donald Trump, the election forecasting site 538 was still ... like forecasts, to political problems.
Major League Soccer1y
MLS Cup 2022: FiveThirtyEight forecasts Conference Final field
That’s a strong likelihood, according to FiveThirtyEight’s updated predictions model, which gives both No. 1 seeds greater than a two-thirds chance to advance from their portions of the Audi ...
Trump makes a bold prediction about the 2024 presidential election
Donald Trump - at a large rally on Long Island - vows to become the first Republican presidential candidate in 40 years to ...